Monday, April 16, 2007

APRIL 16, 2007



HMY..Looks like it ‘s setting up in a new price channel...was 12.8 thru 14.4...
NOW , I can expect 14.5 thru 17.2.....next two or more weeks....SO, be sure to short sell at ...any price abpve $16.9=....90/10 odd in my favor ..I make money shorting at this price...EPS...shows a little improvement...
price channel...z-ism....At best are usually arbitrary in nature...but when one changes...like HMY..is in transition of doing right now...It’s just best to accept...that the Wall street guys...are pushing up the envelope....

GFI April 16...


APRIL 16, 2007


GFI....no real eps change...in fact trending down from 6 month’s ago.....So kill $24 thru $27...last year's..highs ..won’t make it....GFI...is ready to break any minute....towards the downside....$20.70 ...looks like the ideal price....last wed....hi...

GDX....gold index...options yes...

GDX...$43....80/20....MAY 45 PUT...2.85....DELTA 60....OK...What else can I say...
I have never miss traded GDX....last 3 years..upside or downside.....so I pass on my good fortunes ...to you....
I’d like to see $43.1...retest...but i will take $42.8....
and I might add FCX..up $20..in a month...FCX...is finally played out...look for lower prices.in the coming days.....on FCX...at minimum..FCX..a 6%...pullback...

BG...I SEE $72 i’M IN....MAKES RSI ABOUT 30 INSTEAD OF 35.....CUP +1 $73/$74...LOOKS LIKE SUPPORT...i’D RATHER WAIT..AND SEE IF i CAN GET $72...
ESLR..4/17/2007.....earnings report tomorrow...after market close........may12.5 call=0.60...

bought ACI may 40Put ...3.20...
FCL at 39.3... waiting for $40..
CNX...put ....may 50 put....6.20...ok....80/20....
Sohu...put...23.9....waiting for ...$24.5.....
Snic....12.5put...2.70....waiting for....200 day...15.4....

SU,CHAP,APC......puts are doing fine.....I”m having to pick my individual...battles...and..these stocks...are all showing eps trend weaknesses...for instance...i’m not shorting solar....
zee...
SWHC...ENTRY at 13.12 is a 100 to 1....you’ll make money buying SWHC.....at that price..$13..12......it’s a 30/50 day 100 to 1....buy signal....
Zee....
Alok.doc...ski......jake found one....30/50....and I bet ...didn’t even know it.....
THANKS JAKE...
JAKE

10 comments:

zstock7.com said...

alok..doc...
XLE...5 day rule./pattern.......XLE up on Mon....down on Tues.....
it’s been two weeks...since XLE..5 day....has been at...norm....
I expect XLE...to be down Tues....
Zee...
If XLE is down...tues..it might be as much as 3%.......

Alok said...

zee are you shorting this mkt? i was extremely bullish till today. now i'll looking to stay out and just let my current plays ride out. maybe they'll stop out, maybe they'll go higher, but the mkt looks toppy to me. no matter what i'm very scared shorting anything here. EVEN GS went up today, that was one of TK's best shorts till now. he is going to be one sad man today.

zstock7.com said...

alok....I’ve been following you around...at all the favorite stops....like beannies...jake’s...I left messages..there for you...JBX...i blew it...but my XBD..co’s..all up.....MGPI...I got confused....blew it...it’s down today....
sohu and snic...look good for shorts....
too bad...you don’t have 2 years experience with the 30/50 day signal.....keep following them,.....in three month’s... .from now...
you’ll see....all that profit...going..up in smoke.......and....... pass you by.....
strongest short sell signal...in chart....universe....strongest buy signal...by 1000’s% of percent...than any other signal....
you will ever encounter....the rest of your life....
zee.....

zstock7.com said...

alok....
no.... i’m not shorting this market....but i am finding lots of companies that are overpriced...and deserve to be shorted..
plus ...i’m a lot more accurate...on puts and shorts...than that TK...will ever be....
even if he spends...a thousand years at it.....
and in these market conditions....(JAPAN...CHINA)....I need all the shorts...I can get...so if the market repeats 400 down overnight......
I have shorts on the books ...to protect my calls...

in the meantime .......i’m...buying on the dips.....
zee....

Alok said...

man zee, this mkt is really crazy, i am 100% long right now and then some. but i expect tomorrow to be down, we have to see some profit taking soon. cant go up in a straight line. i think your puts will pay off very well tomorrow. as you said, luck is on the side of the prepared. i actually experienced it the last two days. from tomorrow its back to work for me sigh! no more day trading, back to swinging hahha.

btw, can you explain what you meant by your comment, i couldn't quite follow you.
"too bad...you don’t have 2 years experience with the 30/50 day signal.....keep following them,.....in three month’s... .from now...
you’ll see....all that profit...going..up in smoke.......and....... pass you by.....
strongest short sell signal...in chart....universe....strongest buy signal...by 1000’s% of percent...than any other signal....
you will ever encounter....the rest of your life.... "

zstock7.com said...

the first year ...I just looked at the 30/50 day...I was clueless....
then the second year...I started paying a little more attention...to those kinds of charts....
then...about 6 month’s ago...I realized ...they never go wrong.....but I had the hardest time finding them......
Now with you and doc...helping...30/50 are coming everyday....I’ve never seen this many at once.....
So...I’m very busy...taking advantage of all I can...’cause I don’t know if the 30 /50 will dry up and then take two weeks to find the next one....
zee....

Alok said...

oh got it now. i dont think the 30/50 will ever dry up, its a very common setup and i think that every stock has to go through it some time. its just that earlier you were looking for it alone, now its three of us :)

drnova2000 said...

Hey Alok,

Call me crazy, but I was able to cover my short on TSL today!! Gotta love it. Up big one day and down big the next!!!

Z-stock,

I hope xle and oil go down. I own a bunch of AMR.

drnova2000 said...

Alok

ARTX up huge!!! Yeah baby. Wish you went in with me. That's your pick.

Alok said...

Doc, Artx looks like it might be drying up, be careful with it, if it falls tomorrow get out. IMO.

EMAIL ME !!! anytime