I’ve posted QLGC and LXK....because these are the way a 30 degrees down.... 50 day....chart is supposed to work....9 out of 10 times....
April 10...
STX...quite a fall...EPS hasn’t changed since OCT 06...so OCT lows are the entry price...90/10....
will....someone please look up OCT..lows and post in comment section... thanx..
KOMG... QLGC...down in sympathy ...I’m sure....
KOMG...better off waiting for $29.50/ $30.00 entry price ....70/30.....
QLGC ...next entry price 17.2....at the gap....70/30...downside ...goes back to 16.50....90/10....in which case buy more....
APRIL 9 2007...
STI...Suntrust Bank...
SunTrust Banks was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Commercial, Corporate and Investment Banking, Wealth and Investment Management, and Mortgage. STI is a XLF component.... Next Earnings Date: 17-Apr-07....
Apr...08...eps...6.54....
Apr...07 ...eps...6.04
Mar 07 ...eps ..6.09
Jan 07 ...eps 5.88
Oct 06...eps..5.88
Jun 06...eps..5.99
EPS trending higher since JUNE..06....or so... at least from Oct..EPS is plus...
80 / 20 STI holds at 200 day....79.7.....look for STI...to close the gap....82../83..and quad top...to boot...
downside...dips a couple of dollars below 200 day....in which case....buy more....
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CCJ...this uranium mining company.... is on it’s way to $50.68
2008 eps raised from...2.53..up to...3.23....
44%....$31.5 (may 06 low) times 44%...= $45.34...target met...
44%....$35.2...((mar 07 low)...times..44%= 50.68...target price this cycle....
short sell CCJ at this price...90/10...odds in my favor ...I make money shorting CCJ at this price...
anyone ...short PCU..at the double top?....I posted a change in...EPS warning....days ago...
For those of you new...I never post or enter a trade unless the odds favor me...80 to 20....
that’s why you see 80/20...or 90/10...or 70/30....or 100 to 1....
yes ... I have lots of help..from folks at this site....helping me..to find the next {{{100 to 1}}}....
AND there are over 10 certified...shorts..at 80/20....in the comment section...XAU...
50 comments:
zee, TK's chart has me concerned. i mean what are the odd's of him being right, he hasn't been right for the past one month now. also we've already seen the correction, its been pretty major in some parts of the world so i'm not sure if this APR-AUG will be like the one in 06. this one has me thinking and confused.
Alok ..did you short BID...cause i was thinking about it..70/30...I see $48 on BTU..I'll short...80/20.there’s a failed double top...in the making......
NDX...Let's see if it even gets to 1840..1850 first...then debate 04 or 06...
XLE...5 day....MON...mixed signals....so Tues should be down 3%...on energy stocks...70/30...
zee
Doc.. alot...
KCI looks like a buy at 51/52..it's...on the 30/50 list..you made...corrected a little today...closed 53.5...down from $56..
zee...
zee, i didn't short anything today. i liquidated a few of my positive movers today in anticipation of weakness for the rest of the week. conserving capital, now just taking it one day at a time. i wish i had sold everything to be 100% cash. it was surprising that the +ive jobs report did nothing for the mkt, so gotta be prepared for anything now.
Alok...I’m all in PUTS.. XLE..APC...
looking at ATI...114 target MET...CHAP.(after AA earnings..)..
look to buy STI TXI..MNST>>CTSH>>and if GPI triple bottoms...I'm back in ...again ...for the third time..
GPI...ski and I have made so much money off that thing...it's ridiculous...+ on call contracts...he and i are it's only volume ..practically...
Zee of green gables, Prince Edward Islands, home of Lawson’s General, purveyor of Rolling’s Reliable baking powder....
Also the pundits /analysts...predict 5%...not 9% eps growth S&P 500...Q1....so....
If a major player misses earnings bad...that will trigger volatility...
zee, lol in that case you and ski must be buying and selling to each other.
have a look at DSX for a short.
Z-stock and alok,
You guys think the market will turn down this week? Should I be buying those puts you mention z-stock? Should I be short? Did you sell HNSN, Alok?
I haven't posted too much today because I'm on travel. I will review all your post Z-stock tomorrow after work. I examined your short list alok and I think you got some good plays. I will post more of that tomorrow.
Zstock you ok with Excel? Can I submit Excel or what?
doc, got out of hnsn today at 20, wish i'd have sold higher. i'll be looking for re-entry on weakness again, but for the moment i'm out.
Doc, I messaged two names to you as short candidates for tomorrow. DSX and one more, i forgot the second one, can you post that here. its in your gmail im. Thx!
I hope AA (alcoa) ..goes up Tuesday...after hours....because I really think steel can be successfully shorted after .. AA reports...for monster profits...
XLE..APC...apr 63 xle puts.1.60.....and may apc 45 puts..1.60...
doc....
post your findings into stockcharts....I left...html templates.....if it doesn't have a 30/50 line don't send it...I've eliminated all the stocks with down lines and all the stocks with lines going straight across...
otherwise,,,not worth my time to look at lists....however a great many shorts come up in the equation...keep those....
excel...is a pain...but i can see why you like it...
zee
APRIL 9 2007...
Dsx..you don’t think dsx...is going up to 19.x again..but it does look like it fails at the 20 day..
zee
also ..be ready to jump on KCI..it's the first in the list...to break down..
zee..
zee i think that dsx is at a very crutial point, if it fails here then there is a long fall, if it goes higher then very little upside left. i dont see how it could go back to 19, especially with that huge -ive vol day on march 39th. this could be a trend reversal in the making. another point, bb is expanding so more ground to cover in the downside.
doc ...at least try to take a few out....thanx...
zee
I am sorry for this stupid post but i've been bottling it in me all day. today i made the stupidest mistake ever. i bought KOMG at 32, after it ran up to 32.2 i decided to put a stop a little below 31.5. so i clicked on the order button and instead of putting a stop order i entered a sell order. before i realized my mistake my shares of KOMG were sold at 32.12 (luckly for a miniscule profit) and now i cant trade for 3 days cause my day trades are done. i'm such an A$$, a frustrated dumb A$$.
Dsx $18.39....apr 20 put 1.75...may 22.5 put....4.40.....ok i’ll try it....
zee
alok...that's just tradjical...
this comment section is working like time delayed ...instant messaging.....
good to know...
zee...
no need to keep going back to post and coming back here...
zee
zee yahoo finance does not show the 22.5 apr puts in the options link, am i looking in the wrong place? what is the 1.75 number?
did you see bni and unp...gap up...cause of Warren buffett..news...he's buying 11% share or some such in Bni....I'm going to fun shorting those....if i figure it out entry price..
yahoo is terrible....
i use this site....(under expiration...menu in ALL...)
http://www.optionsxpress.com/quote_option_chain.asp?SESSIONID=0&IsSubmited=true
that was in the news today, buffets buys were moving transports.
oh ok, i see it now, apr puts 20 is 1.75 and 22.5 is 4.2
this comment section...
it's a 2 minute delayed instant message board....
well doc said he wanted to instant message....wish he were here...
he said that he was travelling, so i guess he's probably sleeping.
huge news....that's what was driving BNI...and UNP...and he's supposed to buy in to two more ...one might be canadian...CP?..and forgot the other canada.....but when the news wears out...that's what interest me...UNP and BNI...should fall enough to fill that huge gap up...
interesting. will at them to my watchlist. gotta catch some shut eye now. i guess i'm going to be a spectator for the next 3 days :(
maybe i'll post those two...in my blog tomorrow...how to play...general motors type news....that's what it reminds me of...that way...i'll have to figure out the 80/20...short ...entry price...
if it's possible...
alok ...swing trade STI or TXI....if either are down tommorow...they become 90/10 if down one more day.........buy a cheap call.....
Thanks Z for the Agilent suggestion. Sold yesterday at $35.10.
Dr - we have ALL hit the wrong button, I am sure....more than once...in IB, I have double check to verify orders before I submit....I'm in Calif and mkts are a bit too early for me. Protect yourself, it is just part of the game.
STX Oct 06 low was 20.73 per StreetSmart
Dr - check this out:
http://nysetrader.blogspot.com/
Zee -- not sure why you want Oct lows of 20.50ish or so for STX when September and August were lower (19.50ish for Sept and below 19 for Oct).
I wish I could understand what you were posting better. From your blog entry I can't tell if you want to short or go long STX. Is English not a first language ? (not trying to be offensive, I know there are a lot here for whom it is not.)
zee JADE is it ready for the 30/50 rule?
Alok ...good catch...
Jade is NOW..70/30.....downside...JADE decides to retest $8.05....at $8.05 ...Jade is 100 to 1....
zee
Jake....sorry....I have time ...now to elaborate...
on STX....for some...reason...I consistently trade this stock...RIGHT ...every time....
Buy STX...AT 21.27...Today’s low....or buy STX at OCT lows...20.73....both prices are 80../20...21.27...is support one....and 20.7...is support two.....
I’m throwing out any...prices before...OCT...lows ...because EPS changes JUN06..2.04...apr07..1.78....apr08....2.65....
jn06 thru apr08....eps...changes are zero sum....
If at earnings date STX...gets hammered...Then look for JUN 06 lows of $19...doubtful....
There’s one more outcome...STX up tomorrow...because that is an awfully bullish hammer signal...
zee..
zee hate to do this to ya, but i dont think jade will touch 8.05, however i think it might have strong possibility of touching 8.5. can you tell me the odds at 8.5. TIA.
April 10...
Anon....I checked out your site..link...This guy has $280,000 to trade with...and he calls $600...a good day....28 times $10,000 = $280,000...I guess that’s good....cause he does it every day.....
Anon’’’..thanks for STX oct low ....figure...
http://nysetrader.blogspot.com/
zee...
alok...at 8.50 I'D BUY IT......not much downside....AT ALL...at $8.5....90/10....
even if..JADE goes lower....just buy more.....
with that steep of a 50 day...signal....jade...has to make it back to 9.15....or higher...9.8....20 day....jade definetly makes it back to 9.8....
zee
alok...what made jade go so high?....any news...?
zee
high, its been going low ... where r u looking?
Alok....Jade JUL $5..call....4.90.@ 9.08........i see 4.40 ../ ..4.70....or less i’m in.....sell for....5.90....min....
zee...
JADE... used to be a $4 stock.....what happened ...to make it go to $12....zee
alok....let's hope for....jade at 8.05 .... I'm buying april 7.5 call..could be a possible triple my money.....I've never actually tripled on a call position.....but I could have ...if I had held...long enough...on some positions... in the past...
zee...
i'm hoping that nothing happens till friday, i'm not trading till friday. let it fall please let it fall till friday hahaha but i know it wont happen. you guys will get in and mock me for not getting in.
i forgot to tell you, here are some good short candidates for tomorrow. i posted them on beanie's also.
NBIX
CPSI
FCX
SUN
PSUN
alright...i'll check out the shorts out....FCX...has me a little worried...though...SUN...is energy...did you read my post at beannies....I got soaked and thrashed on energy puts....I'll try to daytrade energy puts....I'm through trying to swing trade that sector...
yeah i read that lol, it funny, its going opposite of your trade all the time.
hey JADE was supposed to announce earning tomorrow, but its not going to ... 'The next earnings announcement is scheduled for 4/12/2007.' this could be why its been falling so far.
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