These are some “””awful””” looking Easter bunnies....I certainly wouldn't want to go out...looking like ...that....
I do not expect NDX to top 1840...1850...this cycle....so I can start paring down on DOW reaching any new yearly highs...this cycle...
Alok put together ten shorts...from the equations...he ran for me...
””turns out that equation”” finds shorts....They are listed in the comment section....they are all 80/20... I posted the first ten from the list....
CNX..80/20...put works at 43.3...percent channel target price...met....
correction....FCX...CCJ...when XAU...reaches """$148."""I think I commented.. $411...
April 7, 2007...
JAKE ...is finally starting a board... with “”NEW BLOG “”entries......
Everyone...... get ready for the ......”””ride of your life”””.... and many, many thanks to
beannies ... as well....who’s comment section has the.... hottest trades on the planet....
I logged in twice...so I could have both charts on separate windows... that way I can see both charts...side by side... at the same time...
to TK”s Tim Knight’s.... site so I have “””two “””open windows.....
It clearly shows the NDX..$NDX..^NDX..) failing ...90 / 10.... at 1850 or less....
Does... Tim know his chart shows where the market will top.....this cycle.....
The only remaining question...does April / May..07...end up looking like April / Aug..04..
(which means NDX..could eventually see 1860.in Aug.. with another future dip..to go.....)..or does April / May 07...end up looking like April../May .06....... where havoc and mayhem...rule the day....
and marketspeculator ...is 72% in cash.....I thought 72% cash was... important to note, since I’m always trying to trade “”what is next....””
go to TK..and get two separate windows...for this chart...and other companion chart to this one...
>
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APRIL 7...2007...
buy MNST and MAN first thing Monday morning...as they willl be up maybe more than...5%...on employment report....
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APRIL 6, 2007
XAU...=GDX... =HUI...= gold index...
Gold stocks overall are not generating any exciting EPS news....or forward earnings news...
so what in the world...has to happen to make the XAU...go up $4 more, to complete the double top....
What if Canada, floats a rumor... ABX might BUY.. NEM...The rumor made the paper’s today....
ANYWAY..SHORT SELL XAU at the double top..90/10...odds in your favor.....if XAU even gets there...
Fri's..employment report..
bullish....futures up nearly 1/2%....look for higher prices on MON...
what else can power the XAU to a double top....AA reports earnings TUES AMC....a positive report....makes the XAU go higher...
The important point I am trying to make....is that the XAU...fails at the double top...$148.11....short sell commodities.../ energy.......steel ...oil ...gold...oih...solar....aluminum...wind...nat gas....hydrogen....
downside....XAU breaks through the double top.....
in which case keep your focus on the DIA....because, it’s probably headed to ....13,080....
This 13,080 number was first posted at Tim Knight’s.....a week ago.....and I was laughed out the room..""by the smartest guys in the house"""..and now this DIA number...is showing up again.....the things I have to think about....""next"".... “”never ends....””...how thrilling....is this.!!!!.
zzz
24 comments:
On a future post....I’m going to outline...an idea...I think .....(times the impending 2000 type ...crash).....to within 30 days.......I was going to post that today....but I’m more concerned with the shorter...term projects....as I have plenty of time left...before the CRASH...of 2008....
zzzz
“””he who cannot exit at the top......also cannot short at the top.....”””
I enjoy your blog.Good graphics and excellent ideas. FYI- back from SoCal and I am up and running again!
t..
that's fantastic....
i'll be at your blog again...pronto....
z...
zee, lmao at your vertigo comment. i am so excited, so many ideas. i can see so many shorts and longs. tomorrow i'll list out all the possible shorts and longs in my view from the 329. i gotta get some sleep now.
alok....(epiphony= breakthrough) am sending (hopefully)....I think I improved the formula ......to you and doc .....g-mail....should bring back (TXN CTSH MHK TRID ...which have already been..established.... as the one’s we are looking for ..and some new ones we haven’t seen yet....
zzz
Z, boy do I wish I asked you about Agilent earlier. They bought some company yesterday. A great catalyst for a large percentage move lower.
Hey z-stock, do you concern about options when earnings are coming out?
Thx
zee/doc, check your mail.
alok...how in the heck ..did you analyze 44...so quickly....
...I have one- third of the list on my short watch list ...too....thankfully...
let me chart everything out...
see if i have anything for tomorrow...
you know I'm already shorting XLE...Monday afternoon...up or down... AA report..tues AMC...makes wed...target day for put.. metals....or buy spreads Tues....which ever way AA breaks...should be huge....
anon...Thx....i try to avoid call or puts the day before earnings day...However if I know the stock has a history of breaking huge...
I can usually figure out some spread ( out of the money...same month)...combination....that renders one contract half to near..zero...and the other contract..double for a gain of 15%...avg...if one contract goes to zero ..then gain is huge....
zzz
ski....
you're awfully quite.....
z...
adam...haven't had time to look at A....you think the pundits think they paid too much...i'll go check the wires....thanx...
dude, i should have done that. remove the companies that are reporting next week from that list. there is no point in taking a position in them and then getting wacked by the earning surprise.
also, if your so sure about XLE then why dont you take one of the energy company in that list. there are so many that are so beautifully set up for a short. do you want me to give you the names of companies in the 44 that are in energy? i can do that first thing tomorrow morning.
lol, i actually looked at 70 but gave you n doc the best 44 in my opinion.
A is so range bound. 31-35, looks like its having a tough time getting over 35, and with an acquisition it just might take longer.
alok ...
earnings...date...
4/10 T AA 4
4/11 W BBBY DNA 4
4/11 T LRCX
4/12 F INFY
AA reports on Tues AMC...I don't want to be caught on the wrong side.....All commodity stocks will act in sympathy....up or down....
z...
AA will move huge.....I'll post a spread trade...to execute tues...mid morning...
ALok here's some of your short recommendations....I've added some extra comments...
ABD Short Over extended, if it weakens on Monday short it
Abd now gap to fill at 25.5....downside...breaks through gap..then 27.4.. breaks through gap..then 27.4..
AP Short could fall below 200dma, before starting the next leg up
short Ap now...downside...not much...
(BCSI Long) keep watching for signs of strength and get in
Bcsi..major resistance 40.00 has 2005..gap to fill...32.5= 80/20 entry price...+ mar gap up fills..
BID Short Already showing signs of weakness, short if it falls on Monday
Bid short now...80/20...percentage channel match 35%=47.5.../48...
BOT Short If this falls, then it will be forming lower highs
BTU Short Should fall below 200dma before shorting
Btu....ever since 2 for 1 split...pricing failure....48.5 doubtful...short at 45 / 46...
BVN Short Over extended, if it weakens on Monday short it
Bvn percentage channel match...31.5 ...short now...80/20...downside...3%..2008 eps...not priced in...yet...
BWLD Short Has already started showing signs of weakness
Bwld...percent ch..met 67.5...short now....corrects.. $7 channel...80/20
CCJ Short Has run up a lot
Ccj tops when XAU tops 411 ..or now...or after AA report 4/10 AMC
FCX Short Already showing signs of weakness, short if it falls on Monday
FCX TOPS WHEN XAU AT 411....80/20...lots of earnings...from...pd deal...
SII Short Over extended, if it weakens on Monday short it short at 50.50….meets percent channel…80/20..read post...
zee..
awesome job zee, thanks a bunch. i can't believe the amount of time i've put in this stuff this weekend, but by next weekend expect another list of 100 to watch for entry points. i believe i might have found a way of identifying KOMG/TRID kind of plays in the making. naturally i can only provide the list, we all have to help each other when the plays get triggered.
Doc ...
I'm not good at excel...no more excel....
Just send list in alphabetical order .(word doc. ok)...so I can copy paste...into Yahoo...(separate by comma's or spaces)..
and for comments ..just type it out...I'll aleady be seeing any 20.. / 50.. /.. 200 day info ..and price...so I try to take out some redundency...
or send link of 10 charts at stockcharts....
ATI $110.86 $106.22 $103.29 Up Looks Toppy will not short steel …until XAU confirms double top at $148…
AUY $14.82 $14.29 $14.02 Up Looks Toppy will not short gold …until XAU confirms double top at $148…or AA reports
ALB $42.81 $41.61 $41.08 Up
from IBD scan ..this is a true 30/50 day…
AVT $38.88 $37.08 $35.26 Up
from IBD scan ..this is a true 30/50 day…
BDC $55.77 $53.84 $49.35 Up
from IBD scan ..this is a true 30/50 day…
ATI $110.86 $106.22 $103.29 Up Looks Toppy
will not short steel…until XAU confirms double top at $148…or AA reports
BTJ $38.40 $32.82 $26.31 Up
btj....looks like a candidate for 30/50 rule in 14 days....
Here’s link of 10 charts of stock charts...
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?
afm,alb,anst,ard,avt,axe,bbl,bdc,blud,btj|B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?afm,alb,anst,ard,avt,axe,bbl,bdc,blud,btj|B|B14
zee...
alok.. i knew you could do it....there has to be a way to spot TXN..TRID..etc...
alok...I've only gone through the first ten or so ...on your list....more to come ...if I can find some free time...
tranferring from excel...into yahoo and stockcharts...takes up a lot of time...on my end...
does scan tranfer to word doc...???
hey bro, not at all. it doesnt take any time at all. just do this - select the column you wanna copy in xls (or cells if you want just a few of them), then copy it, go to yahoo portfolios and open it in edit mode. paste the contents that you copied from xls and click on the update portfolio link. its as simple as that. if your having any difficulty doing this send me a mail, i'll give u my # and walk you thru the process. i find that copying and pasting from an xls is much easier than a word doc.
also did u check out the authenticity of yahoo's 20/50/200 dma. i'm not sure that their 50/200 dma's are accurate.
if you send lists...send them...in alphabetical order separated by comma's.....I'm set up here with html...templates...and require lists to be in this form...
thanx....
z...
yahoo 50 day
no comment.....
i don't use yahoo 50 day....
i use percent from 50 day....
zee....
doc here’s half your list put into 10 charts....i made the html templates....job goes way quicker...
i put a space in between.... ? and [B]B14......so it wouldn’t turn blue.....be sure to remove the space to activate html...address...
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php? |B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php? |B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php? |B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?ctsh,ctxs,edu,efut,ffhl,ffiv,fmcn,frg,fslr,fzn|B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?acor,ah,aks,alks,amd,ann,asei,asti,ati,auy|B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?axp,bhp,bidu,ccoi,cern,cmi,cop,crm,crox,csx|B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?ctsh,ctxs,edu,efut,ffhl,ffiv,fmcn,frg,fslr,fzn|B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?genz,gld,gmkt,gpi,grrf,gsol,hal,hlit,hnsn,insp|B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?ir,isrg,ivng,jblu,mro,nue,nvda,pcar,pcu,rig|B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?rmbs,rocm,sbux,shld,siga,sirf,slb,stec,stld,tex|B|B14
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?tie,trt,tsl,tso,txi,vlo,wag,xing,yhoo,zeus,$ndx|B|B14
STLD $43.77 $41.00 $39.40
Up
you don't want to short these guys….takeover target….good way to lose the entire account over night….
zee...
HEY ZEE.... Thx for looking out.. Had to get away for a couple days... mental health... very mad at myself for impulsive NYX call purchase.. hoping for upside Mon. ... be posting later here or on Beanies... but seriously, gotta say.... I LOVE THOSE FREAKIN EASTER BUNNIES!!! TOO FUNNY.....SKI
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