Friday, May 25, 2007

buy some puts that make sense

HERE”S 50/50 scenario, DIA goes to 13,650 means 100 to 1 dia going to 138,138 = 8.5% (eps growth Q1) added to feb high of 12,700 ish, so there is hard statistical fact in the 138 number,138 is not a random number in other words, its backed by facts

I have it on good authority, (VR Trader), that the the market will panic when the US demands that China strenthens it YAUN. This will come in the form of US tarriffs. Now here’s what I understand. Anything that threatens to raise interest rates, collapses the market. Tarriff’s raise prices, in turn, create inflation. Threat of inflation plays into Big Ben’s hand (FOMC), to go out and sink the US market. So, as chatter from Chinese tarriff’s get louder, watch for the market to panic sell. Sell-off should stop at 13,160 and then watch for DIA, to rise to 13,800.
APPL NEW TARGET PRICE 120/130

HERE”S HANG SENG the culprit in february’s crash, it has pulled back each of the last 4 out of 6 month’s the last week of the month...


NTRI fails same time DOW fails = 80/20..so if DIA goes to 138 NTRI goes to 70/75...If DOW fails next week, then you'll have this on board and can get into something quickly...

NSC is finished, it has tested top and is about to fail..June 06 eps = may 07 EPS and yet NSC is $2 higher than ),


probably because DIA is higher and Buffet on BNI news...This is a good short candidate..80/20...JUNE 55 put is 0.70 ---JUNE 60 put 3.40 low was 2.60 June 60 put, exactly follows stock price...and another transport stock LSTR, on blog i told you to short down $3 already..
AND dont forget SHORT AMTD and AMT and Housing XHB, LEN,CTX,BZH

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