You must buy this one..not much change, ever!!!! in eps trend, so it (IIIN) steel company,
is perpetually stuck in this endless monotonous, price channel that will never change, never deviate,will always be laissez faire, I always buy this, and i always sell this at the same price, over and over and over again, for , well i can’t even remember for how long anymore. 90/10 or 100 to 1
Iiin . eps record ..mr07 1.71/2.03 ... f2 1.83/2.18... n22... 1.95/2.26 .o12.....1.84/2.08.... hot 1.82../2.14.. jn15 ...2/1 SPLIT ....mr06....1.82../2.14.... 06/7
SHORT AMTD at 18.8= ...90/10 to ...100 to 1...
Short UEIC at $36= ...80/20
Short DRI at $44 = ...80/20
Short CSTR 34.40= ....90/10
Short CNQ AT $66.32 = ...90/10 or ....100 to 1...
BUY TLB 20.20 = ....80/20
downside for UEIC, AMTD,DRI,CSTR,CNQ,TLB,IIIN, not much at all.....
And for an earnings play SHORT MIC...Monday..reports earnings Tuesday.. MIC will fail to meet the street ecpectations. 70/30 , downside, if there is one , it eludes me, at this time.
I don’t care what people say about me, when the DIA, hits RSI 80, I’m shorting DIA.... 60/40, this works......
DIA RSI 79.52....currently
downside. DIA smashes through RSI 80, then I will have to try again at DIA RSI 85..at rsi 85, my odds increase to..90/10...
ZEE
19 comments:
Z,
TIA for the picks.....
Hey Z, you've got to check out this site:
http://www.prophet.net/quotes/options.jsp
This is probably the only place where you can see historical charts of each options traded.
johnny,
good concept, at prophet,..but i think it might be mismanaged,
Compare these two sites and you will see that MIC on prophet is woefully missing some calls and puts. I imagine they had better get on board and fix that.
http://www.prophet.net/quotes/options.jsp?showModules=false&symbol=MIC&showAllCheck=on&tradedOptions=true&showMonths=05%2F01%2F2007%2C06%2F01%2F2007&removeMonth=
and here’s the site I use. All the strikes are there.
http://www.optionsxpress.com/quote_option_chain.asp?SESSIONID=0&IsSubmited=true
and if i want to look up 2006 FY06 fro company XYZ, well, i haven’t found a site that lets me do that, yet.
And if you want to see a chart of the option price itself, for instance xyz call traded for 3.60 thru 4.60 today, what did it trade for 5 and 6 days ago? At IB brokers, I can see the daily chart of the option price by enterering in the option contract and then click on charts. And i see the entire monthly history. In chart form.
And for anyone playing MIC JUNE 45 PUTS ..the spread is 1.95/2.30, i’ll bet i can slip the put through at 2.10, and some on open interest will grab it, if i leave the put open long enough. And I don’t know what a billion dollar buy back program that MIC started in 06, does to stock price or eps 07/08 results, on such a small cap company, so I might be mis- reading this whole short sell idea wrong. So i might lose $90,000, if one of you placed your bet against me.
Zee...
You are right, Z. You don't have access to all the features at prophet.net unless you are a paid subscriber. But their free service is OK for someone that doesn't have an IB or OptionsXpress account.
By the way, what do you think of ACO ? Maybe we can wait until it falls back under $24 ?
We should probably wait on IIIN.
Z, what do you think of PVH ?
Mads, i think you are right about IIIN. There doesn’t seem to be any urgency to get in right now. My timing for IIIN will be when I see oil and steel stocks make some kind of dip first, then i’ will surely lock in my JUNE 15 calls....1.65 thru 2.15..hopefully i’ll see $1.65, but 2.00 is ok too.
johnny, it’s impossible for ACO to go to 21.9. so that leaves anything near $23 a great entry price for me.80/20.ACO short term target is $26 in less than 5 days, is possible.70/30.... And PVH, sure wish i caught that at 200 day = 48.9....i guess now’s price...
or retest of 51 ish = 70/30.., is the best signal, this time...
p.s. I think i am completely wrong on MIC short. They gave away 57 cent dividend, and I think this is why EPS looks so bad past 90 days.
Z, not sure if PVH really tested the 2 month low of $51.5. On May 2nd, it did hit a low of $48.96. However, it happened in a one minute bar (10:05am) and bounced right back. It could have been just a error in the data. In light of this, maybe we should wait for the 51 ish price before getting in?
Z, check out DIVX. It just hit it's all time low. There should be support here. RSI is also at the all time low point. Looks like it might bounce back to $18.5, at least.
Z,
If we have a correction how should we play the LIZ June 35 calls?
TIA
Z, you think UA will re-test $44.5 ?
DSW ..hot eps 36.2 = 200D 37.8=R31.=80/20.However, if price goes to 37.3=R29 THEN wait for ...100 TO 1 = 36.6 ...
DSW MY5 1.40/1.66 06/1.02 90D 1.27/1.52 1.27B/1.45B..
KNSY 24.4=80/20 23.8=100 to 1 my5 74/1.26 06/68…90d …0.78/1.20.. Rev ..74.8m/95.4m ...KNSY = KCI=DGX hot sector Kensey Nash Corporation, a medical technology company,
i’m buying the KNSY JUNE 22.5 call for $2,20 GTC = 100 to 1
I will play LIZ the same through downturn or not. $2.00 is my target sell price.
I like DIVX and i think DIVX is at low now..70/30...since DIVX is a highly volatile sector / software, and doesn’t have any real EPS, to speak of, well I quit these types of plays years ago.
UA, even though EPS, is not something to write home about, it is a military stock,with 25% eps upward trending, and we are in a war, so 80/20, the current price is the bottom...and..military, = hot sector.
Thanks for the analysis, Z! Have you looked into ALK and MDCO?
johnny, if you need faster response, send me a YAHOO IM invite ..at holobots4@yahoo.com. Everyone from beannies is ending up over here. So any one from beannies feel free to send your invite too. Ski or mads, plunger, anon..
Zee
Already have 5 members and counting, in just three weeks , since when we set this whole thing up...and they all help me a lot....like MGM is 70/30 @ $63...buy the june 65 call for 1.95/2.15...and hope....that’s the bottom or close to it...or wait for red,white red day...signal...
Will do, Z...
Z,
Why do you buy always at 80/20 rather than 90/10?
mads
if i waited for 90/10's or 100 to 1's ...I'd miss all the award winning 80/20's...."EVERY" 80/20 makes money too.(so far)....sometimes not as fast as a 90/10 or 100 to 1....
even the 70/30's make money,
...instead of 90/10 i can say "moving up fast 80/20"
zee
i explain the 80/20 and 90/10 in a blog that i posted long long ago....maybe i'll post the meanings again.....and name the blog 80/20.. 90/10.. 100 to 1 ..this time...
Z,
Please do tht. it will help a lot...
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